February 2007
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for a printable version (PDF/1.44mB).


TABLE OF CONTENTS
* MBA
Questions
Freddie Mac's New Underwriting Standards for
Subprime Lending
*
New Population Projected to the Year 2030
* MBA Testifies
Before Senate: Market is Working,
Benefiting Consumers and Increasing
Homeownership
*
NAMB Sets Ambitious Policy Agenda for 2007:
Mortgage Reform and Data Privacy Top
List of Key Issues
*
Annual Joint Mortgage Conference Recap (lots of
pictures to see)
*
Mortgage
Applications Increase in Latest MBA Survey
*
Introducing the
Volunteers of the Education/Programs Committee
*
Programs Scheduled

MBA Questions Freddie
Mac's New Underwriting Standards for Subprime Lending
WASHINGTON,
DC (February 27, 2007) - John M. Robbins, CMB, Chairman of
the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today issued the
following statement in response to Freddie Mac's
announcement of their new standards for subprime lending.
"Today's
announcement by Freddie Mac that it will only purchase
subprime mortgages - and mortgage-related securities backed
by these subprime loans - that qualify borrowers at the
fully-indexed rate will limit the product options and the
access to credit for those individuals most in need, many of
whom are first time, underserved or minority homebuyers.
The
mortgage products that these new standards target are
important financial instruments, crucial to helping
borrowers get into homes and repair their credit.
Regulation that further limits consumer choice is
unwarranted."
###
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
is the national association representing the real estate
finance industry, an industry that employs more than 500,000
people in virtually every community in the country.
Headquartered in
Washington, D.C., the association works to ensure the
continued strength of the nation's residential and
commercial real estate markets; to expand homeownership and
extend access to affordable housing to all Americans. MBA
promotes fair and ethical lending practices and fosters
professional excellence among real estate finance employees
through a wide range of educational programs and a variety
of publications. Its membership of over 3,000 companies
includes all elements of real estate finance: mortgage
companies, mortgage brokers, commercial banks, thrifts, Wall
Street conduits, life insurance companies and others in the
mortgage lending field. For additional information, visit
MBA's Web site:
www.mortgagebankers.org.

New Population
Projected to the Year 2030
by
the NH Office of Energy & Planning, 57 Regional Drive,
Concord, NH 03301
January
2007 - The New Hampshire Office of Energy and Planning has
just released new population projections to the year 2030
for the State and its counties. If the projections’
assumptions prove accurate, about 250,000 people will be
added by that year, for a total state population of
1,564,000. The projections depict the ageing of the
population through the projection period. Currently 12% of
the state’s population is 65 or older. The projections show
that by 2020, the percentage 65 or older may be 21% and by
2030 perhaps 28%.
The updated projections
reflect population trends since 2000. The projections
assume slower growth than the projections previously
prepared by OEP in 2004. The new projections’ total for the
population in 2025 is 73,000 fewer than that of the 2004
projection. Since 2000, the state’s growth has slowed from
19,000 persons per year to about 11,000 new persons per
year. The slower growth is due to incremental increases in
the state’s out-migration since 2000, that is, the number of
people moving out of state is increasing, while the
in-migration rate remains essentially unchanged. Even with
this reduced rate of growth, New Hampshire is likely to
remain the fastest growing state in the Northeast.
The projections are broken
down into age groups and show a markedly aging population.
Currently, NH has the sixth highest median age among
states. The advancing years of the large post-war baby boom
is the primary, but not the only, reason behind the trend.
In the nineties, the state tended to attract older post-war
baby boomers (people born in 1946 to 1964). The 2000 census
shows that NH had a slightly higher preponderance of boomers
compared to the national age structure.
Also contributing to the
aging in NH is the dearth of young adults. During the
nineties, NH experienced a net out-migration of persons aged
20 to 24 and very low in-migration of persons 25 to 29.
Since 2000, those people aged 25 to 34 increased in the
nation while they decreased by more than 7 percent in NH.
The relatively low numbers of young adults produce
correspondingly lower numbers in persons of pre-school and
school age. The differences in age structure between the
state and the nation are significant, but not dramatically
so. In 2000, persons aged birth to 14 accounted for 20
percent of the population in the US, while in NH it was just
over 18 percent. Besides migration patterns, New
Hampshire’s low fertility rate plays a role in age
structure. The projections indicate a decrease in the
population aged birth to 19 between 2000 and 2020 and
increases after that year.
Paradoxically, the age
group 65 and over has not played a role in the aging of the
state, relative to the nation. Since 1960 this age group
has not differed significantly from that of the nation.
This is likely to change as the preponderance of the state’s
post-war boomers reach the age of 65 in 2011.
The state's largest county
is Hillsborough and it is expected to remain so during the
projection period. By 2030 the County could add more than
70,000 persons to its population. Rockingham County, second
largest, could add about 56,000 persons to its population
during the period.
Currently 53% of the
State's citizens reside in Hillsborough and Rockingham
Counties. While this proportion is expected to continue,
Merrimack and Carroll will likely increase their share of
the State's population somewhat. Coos County has been
slowly losing population since 1980. The mild decline is
expected to continue until 2010 followed by a period of
modest growth. Currently, Coos County accounts for 2.6
percent of the State's residents; this may decrease to 2.3
percent by 2030.
On a percentage basis,
Carroll County shows the greatest increase at 30 percent.
Merrimack County follows at almost 24 percent.
Population
projections are used by many government agencies to guide
public policy and budgeting. A frequent use is quantifying
future special populations such as nursing home residents.
Projections have been used to estimate future demands on the
court system, libraries, recreation facilities and
transportation facilities. They are used by business to
gauge future markets and guide long-term investments.
Specific business uses include gauging future labor supply,
demand on hospitals, and energy needs.
The projections are available
at:
http://www.nh.gov/oep/programs/DataCenter/library.htm;
(click on “projections”). Copies of the projections are
also available by calling the NH Office of Energy and
Planning at 271-2155. The office is located at 57 Regional
Drive in Concord.
The OEP is now turning its
attention to producing population projections for the
State's 234 municipalities.
A summary of the state and
county projections appears in the following tables:
|
|
US Census
|
Projected
Population |
|
Place |
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
|
Belknap |
49,216 |
56,325 |
64,894 |
67,470 |
69,901 |
72,507 |
74,482 |
|
Carroll |
35,410 |
43,666 |
50,392 |
53,612 |
57,086 |
59,883 |
61,811 |
|
Cheshire |
70,121 |
73,825 |
78,653 |
81,600 |
84,638 |
87,262 |
89,850 |
|
Coos |
34,828 |
33,111 |
33,135 |
33,284 |
33,341 |
34,639 |
35,844 |
|
Grafton |
74,929 |
81,743 |
88,872 |
92,430 |
95,104 |
97,779 |
100,659 |
|
Hillsborough |
336,073 |
380,841 |
417,221 |
432,807 |
446,576 |
460,427 |
474,045 |
|
Merrimack |
120,005 |
136,225 |
154,118 |
161,578 |
169,089 |
176,364 |
181,832 |
|
Rockingham |
245,845 |
277,359 |
308,227 |
320,458 |
331,181 |
341,822 |
351,634 |
|
Strafford |
104,233 |
112,233 |
124,473 |
129,518 |
134,273 |
138,957 |
142,834 |
|
Sullivan |
38,592 |
40,458 |
45,193 |
47,123 |
48,823 |
50,419 |
51,934 |
|
N.H. (in 000's) |
1,109 |
1,236 |
1,365 |
1,420 |
1,470 |
1,520 |
1,565 |
|
|
|
New Hampshire
Office of Energy & Planning |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Population
Projections |
|
|
|
|
|
|
State of New
Hampshire |
|
|
|
|
|
Census |
Projections
Published – November, 2006 |
Percent Change |
|
Age |
|
2000 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2025 |
2030 |
00-'20 |
00-'30 |
|
------ |
|
----------- |
----------- |
----------- |
----------- |
----------- |
----------- |
------- |
------- |
|
00-04 |
|
75,685 |
69,830 |
72,004 |
74,658 |
75,367 |
74,546 |
-1.4 |
-1.5 |
|
05-09 |
|
88,537 |
81,120 |
79,512 |
81,940 |
85,523 |
87,058 |
-7.5 |
-1.7 |
|
10-14 |
|
93,255 |
92,565 |
86,276 |
84,425 |
87,588 |
92,250 |
-9.5 |
-1.1 |
|
15-19 |
|
86,688 |
95,230 |
93,044 |
87,281 |
86,253 |
89,963 |
0.7 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
00-19 |
|
344,165 |
338,745 |
330,836 |
328,304 |
334,731 |
343,817 |
-4.6 |
-0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20-24 |
|
68,766 |
83,492 |
83,799 |
81,742 |
77,271 |
77,356 |
18.9 |
12.5 |
|
25-29 |
|
71,355 |
79,157 |
86,107 |
86,555 |
84,752 |
80,222 |
21.3 |
12.4 |
|
30-34 |
|
88,706 |
74,149 |
84,746 |
92,128 |
93,160 |
91,968 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20-34 |
|
228,827 |
236,798 |
254,652 |
260,425 |
255,183 |
249,546 |
13.8 |
9.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |