december 2006
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
* Mortgage
Delinquencies Rise in the Third Quarter of 2006
*
It's been a Cold Year for Real Estate
*
Preserving New Hampshire's
Economic Health and Quality of Life
*
People and Places
*
NH Banking Department and Its Guidance on
Nontraditional Mortgage Products
*
Annual Joint
Mortgage Conference:
Embracing Change / Realizing Opportunity
*
Holiday Party Draws
a Crowd
*
Mortgage Banking
Fundamentals Educates New to Industry
*
Programs Scheduled

Mortgage Delinquencies
Rise in the Third Quarter of 2006
Manchester,
NH (December 19, 2006) - The delinquency rate from mortgage
loans on one- to four- unit residential properties in New
Hampshire increased, while the percentage of mortgages in
the foreclosure process rose in the 3rd quarter of 2006.
The delinquency rate for
loans on one- to four-unit residential properties in New
Hampshire rose 43 basis points to 3.89 percent during the
third quarter. The percentage of loans in which
foreclosure was started during the quarter rose 5 basis
points to 36 percent, while the percentage of loans in the
foreclosure process at the end of the quarter rose 16 basis
points to 0.66 percent.
The delinquency rate
varied for each of the four loans types during the third
quarter. The rate of prime loans was 2.29 percent, up
31 basis points from the previous quarter, the rate of
subprime loans was 12.89 percent, up 114 basis points from
the previous quarter and the rates for FHA and VA loans were
11.27 percent and 6.31 percent - up 137 for FHA loans and up
54 basis points for VA loans.
The inventory of loans in
the foreclosure process in New Hampshire at the end of the
quarter varied by loan type as well. The percentage of
prime loans in foreclosure increased 6 basis points to 0.28
percent, the percentage of subprime loans in foreclosure
increased 79 basis points to 3.04 percent, and the
percentage of FHA loans in foreclosure increased 31 basis
pints to 1.31 percent. The percentage of VA loans in
foreclosure decreased 3 basis points to 0.62 percent.
On a national level, the
delinquency rate on one- to four-unit residential properties
was 4.67 in the third quarter, up 28 basis points from the
last quarter. The percentage of loans in which
foreclosure was started during the quarter rose 3 basis
points to 0.46 percent, while the percentage of loans in the
foreclosure at the end of the quarter rose 6 basis points to
1.05 percent. Note: The national delinquency
rate and percentage of foreclosures started are seasonally
adjusted numbers. The state-level information
quoted is not seasonally adjusted.
The above data was
obtained in cooperation with the Mortgage Bankers
Association of America (MBA) which produces the National
Delinquency Survey (NDS). The NDS, which has been
conducted since 1953, covers more than 39 million loans on
one-to-four-unit residential properties, representing about
80 percent of all "first-lien" residential mortgage loans
outstanding in the United States. Loans surveyed were
reported by approximately 140 lenders, including mortgage
bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts.

It's been a Cold Year for Real
Estate
by
Peter Francese
who is the Demographic Advisor to the New Hampshire
Association of REALTORS®.
November
may have seemed warmer than usual here in New Hampshire, but
there's a deep chill in real estate. Three
of my neighbors perfectly illustrate how the sales
statistics, unpleasant as they are, do not completely
reflect just how hard this market shift has been on
Realtors.
Each of these
three neighbors has put his or her house up for sale in the
past year. There have been several open houses and dozens of
showings, at no small cost to the Realtors involved. But
none have sold, and now all three properties have been taken
off the market. In at least one case, the reason was an
unrealistic price expectation.
None of these "No
Sale" examples will show up in the statewide data, nor are
the hundreds of unpaid hours the Realtors spent recorded
anywhere. Such are the limitations of real estate
information systems we have.
What the data from
the Northern New England Real Estate Network (NNEREN) and
the New Hampshire Housing Finance Authority (NHHFA) does
show is that when homes have sold, the average price was
virtually the same as it was a year ago. But the number of
homes sold is down significantly.
During the first
10 months of 2006, according to NNEREN, the average
residential sale price, not including condominiums, was
$309,000, which was only $1,000 less than during the same
period last year. But the number of units sold dropped 19
percent, from just over 14,000 to under 11,400, and sales
volume fell by over $800 million.
Condominium sales
did not fare much better. The average sale price during the
first 10 months of 2006 was $207,000, down just 3 percent
from the $201,000 during the same period last year. But the
number of units sold fell 18 percent, from 5,000 to about
4,200, and sales volume dropped by about $160 million.
When 2006 is
finally over, residential sales volume in New Hampshire will
be at least a billion dollars below last year. That�s damn
cold.
The question is:
What about next year? Next year's sales may be better, but
it will depend to some extent on an increase of jobs in our
region (which have had virtually no growth in the past six
months) and a continuing desire of Baby Boomers to own two
or more homes.
We may be in a situation where the
lack of affordable workforce housing is having a significant
impact on the ability of employers to find workers. This
suggests that perhaps the prevalence of growth moratoriums
in New Hampshire towns is having a negative effect on our
workforce growth.
As the table below shows, residential
home sales, excluding condominiums, declined in every county
for the first 10 months of this year versus last year. The
average sale price rose in half the counties, but was flat
or declining elsewhere.
|
Trend in residential home sales
(excluding condominiums)
January to October 2005 vs. January to
October 2006 |
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County |
Units sold Jan.-Oct '06 |
Percent change 2005-06 |
Average sale price Jan.-Oct. '06 |
Percent change 2005-06 |
|
|
Belknap |
725 |
-14 |
$335,000 |
+5 |
|
|
Carroll |
783 |
-11 |
$347,000 |
+8 |
|
|
Cheshire |
752 |
-5 |
$237,000 |
+3 |
|
|
Coos |
338 |
-9 |
$129,000 |
+2 |
|
|
Grafton |
801 |
-10 |
$267,000 |
-1 |
|
|
Hillsborough |
2,975 |
-23 |
$322,000 |
0 |
|
|
Merrimack |
1,222 |
-18 |
$284,000 |
0 |
|
|
Rockingham |
2,238 |
-26 |
$382,000 |
-1 |
|
|
Strafford |
1,066 |
-20 |
$270,000 |
-3 |
|
|
Sullivan |
461 |
-9 |
$231,000 |
-6 |
|
|
Statewide |
11,363 |
-19 |
$309,000 |
-1 |
|
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Source: Northern New England Real Estate
Network
|
NOTE:
Statistics are based on
information from the
Northern New England Real
Estate Network (NNEREN) for
the respective periods shown
for the respective regions
in the State of New
Hampshire. All analysis and
commentary related to the
statistics is that of the
New Hampshire Association of
REALTORS® and not that of
NNEREN.
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The Real Estate
Market Trends newsletter is provided for the benefit of the
members of the New Hampshire Association of REALTORS®, Inc.
©Copyright 2006 New Hampshire Association of REALTORS®,
Inc. All Rights Reserved.


33 South
Commercial Street
Manchester, NH 03101
(603) 296-0706
Received 10%
OFF any entree with one's own mortgage banker
or broker business card at the Commercial Street Fishery
The New Hampshire
Housing and Conservation Planning Program: To Preserve
New Hampshire's Economic Health and Quality of Life
New Hampshire is growing
and developing rapidly and this trend is expected to
continue for the foreseeable future. The manner in
which the state has grown, particularly with the emphasis on
large-lot, high-cost residential development, has resulted
in a serious shortage of housing opportunities for working
families and young adults.
This trend is hurting our economy by limiting the available
workforce. The same development trends have also
rapidly increased the destruction of natural resources and
traffic congestion on our roads. New Hampshire's
communities need to plan for future growth in a way that
protects our economic health, housing affordability, high
quality of life, and natural resources. The state of
New Hampshire needs to provide leadership and support to
local communities to assist with that task.
In
the summer of 2005, the state's major housing, business,
municipal, and conservation groups began meeting to find a
way out of this dilemma. Through almost a year of
intense work, they developed an incentive-based program that
can give communities the ability to treat housing
development, economic planning, and conservation as part of
a unified planning strategy and not, as is so often the
case, as competing and seemingly-irreconcilable goals.
The program, called The
New Hampshire and Conservation Planning Program, would
provide municipalities with incentives to plan for future
housing growth needs, including the need for affordable and
higher density workforce housing, while preserving their
quality of life, using land efficiently and identifying key
natural areas to preserve.
The program would require
an appropriation of about $600,000 a year from the state's
General Fund.
At the MBBA-NH October
2006 monthly board meeting, the board of governors
unanimously endorsed this program. For more
information on the program, please
click here.
The following business, conservation, housing, municipal and
planning interests support the program:
| NH
Business and Industry Association |
Society for the
Protection of NH Forests |
| NH
Municipal Association |
Audubon Society of
NH |
| Home
Builders and Remodelers Assoc. of NH |
NH Community Loan
Fund |
| NH
Travel Council |
New Hampshire
Housing |
| NH
Public Policy Alliance for Housing |
Trust for Public
Land |
| Southern
NH Planning Commission |
Upper Valley Housing
Coalition |
|
Innovative Natural Resource Solutions |
The Jordan Institute |
|
Conservation Law Foundation of New England |
Great Bridges
Properties |
|
Manchester Neighborhood Housing Services |
Mortgage Bankers and
Brokers Association of NH |

People and Places

GB Joe is on the
go! Joe Saylor of GB Home Equity has been promoted to
New England Sales Manager of VT, ME, NH, MA, RI, and upstate
New York. You can reach Joe at (603) 398-2203.
Congratulations!

New Hampshire Banking Department Adopts Regulatory Guidance
on Nontraditional Mortgage Products
Bank
Commissioner Peter Hildreth announced the adoption of a set
of regulatory guidelines covering the marketing of
"nontraditional" mortgages by state-licensed mortgage
bankers and brokers. "Nontraditional" or "alternative"
mortgages, include "interest-only" mortgages and "payment
option" adjustable-rate mortgages.
Commissioner Hildreth said, "These
guidelines are designed to level the playing field in the
mortgage market in order to protect consumers from taking on
high-risk mortgages without having a full understanding of
the terms of such loans."
Nontraditional mortgage products are
of particular concern because of the lack of principal
amortization and the potential for negative amortization.
The guidance, which the commissioner
will adopt by order, requires mortgage bankers and brokers
to analyze a borrower's repayment capacity, including an
evaluation of the borrower's ability to repay the debt by
final maturity at the fully indexed rate, assuming a fully
amortizing repayment schedule.
Commissioner Hildreth stated, "We want
to work with mortgage bankers and brokers to ensure that the
mortgage products offered to consumers are suitable and
specifically tailored to each individual borrower."
The guidance was developed by the
Counsel of State Bank Supervisors (CSBS) and American
Association of Residential Mortgage Regulators (AARMR).
This CSBS/AARMR guidance parallels the final guidance
released by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency,
the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Office of Thrift
Supervision, and the National Credit Union Administration.
Please click
here for a copy of the Guidance on Nontraditional Mortgage
Products.
For more information, please contact
the New Hampshire Banking Department at (603) 271-3561.

Annual Joint Mortgage Conference:
Embracing Change / Realizing Opportunity
The
2007 Annual Joint Mortgage Conference is poised to offer
even more than last year: expanded programs for loan
officers (attend two sales presentations and a marketplace
reception for $20), increased number of exhibitors, more time devoted
to topics for in depth discussions, and lots of networking
opportunities with mortgage industry professionals from the
surrounding New England states.
The theme of the conference, "Embracing Change / Realizing
Opportunity," reflects today's normalizing real estate
market, compared to record levels of production not too long
ago. Conference sessions will offer you great ideas to
get you thinking about what you need to do to change with
the times and seize new opportunities.
Conference topics
include:
| Selling
Smarter for Mortgage Originators |
Retaining Your Best
Salespeople |
| Gold in
Your Filing Cabinet: Mining Your Database |
Are You in
Compliance According to RESPA? |
| How to
Win Friends and Influence People |
Utilizing Technology
to Sell |
| State
Banking Department Compliance/Audits |
New England Economic
Update |
|
Appraisals: Declining Property Values |
How to Identify and
Prevent Mortgage Fraud |
| Step Up
to Leadership |
|
Don't
miss the fun at Tuesday's exhibitor marketplace reception.
There'll be an eclectic mix of exhibitors with the majority
being related to the mortgage finance industry, live acoustic music by "One Fine Mess," a
bountiful selection of carving stations, appetizers, cash
bar, prizes, and more! Sign up today to ensure your
attendance at the conference, an event you won't want to
miss!
Please click here for
sponsorship/exhibitor information and to register for
the conference.


Wally &
Bernie's
20 Old Granite Street (across from the Verizon Wireless
Arena)
Manchester, NH 03105
603.641.2583
www.wallyandbernies.com
MBBA-NH's Holiday Party Draws
a Crowd
This
year's holiday party on Wednesday, December 13, 2006, at the
Manchester Country Club in Bedford, New Hampshire, drew over
200 members! It seemed like almost everyone from the
New Hampshire mortgage finance industry was there
celebrating the
holiday season with their friends and colleagues.
Lots of partygoers brought their
unwrapped toy to donate to the United States Marine Corps'
"Toys for Tots" campaign. The entrance hall of the
Manchester Country Club was overflowing with bicycles,
stuffed animals, board games, footballs, dolls, etc.
The Marines collected the toys to distribute to needy
families throughout New Hampshire.
The
partygoers also expanded their cheer by purchasing raffle
tickets for a 50/50 raffle. Fifty percent of the
proceeds went to the MBBA-NH's college scholarship program.
The other 50 percent went to the holder of the winning
ticket. The lucky winner of the 50/50 raffle was Ryan
Fay of Popular Financial Services. Ryan's smile never
faded for the rest of the evening; he won over $200 in cash
and the scholarship was able to raise the same. Thank
you to everyone who generously donated a
toy and bought a raffle ticket.
We are very grateful to our holiday
party sponsors. Their contribution helps to keep the
cost to attend the party affordable.
The following is a list of our
holiday party sponsors:
Apple Mortgage LLC
Bank of America
Chicago Title Insurance
LandAmerica
Merrimack Mortgage Company, Inc.
Silver Hill Financial
We would also like to take this
opportunity to express a special "Thank You" to our Preferred
Corporate Partners for their support throughout the year,
which helps us to maintain a high standard of
educational programs and social events.
Please click
here for more information on the Preferred Corporate
Partners.

Course 1: Mortgage Banking Fundamentals Educates
New to Industry
Each
fall the MBBA-NH offers its Course 1: Mortgage Banking
Fundamentals for members and non-members who are new to the
industry. This six week course meets each week and
focuses on the mortgage application, understanding the
credit report, products and pricing, underwriting, closings,
appraisals, post closing, and mortgage fraud. At the
end of the course each student must pass a take home exam,
and, only after they pass the exam, can they receive a
certificate of completion.
We are pleased to acknowledge and congratulate the following
students who successfully completed the requirements of
Course 1: Robin Bettencourt of Cousins Home Lending, Kathy Aubut Decelles of Laconia Savings Bank, Matthew Frederickson
of Downeast Mortgage, Teresa Henry of Laconia Savings Bank,
Meredith Horton of Laconia Savings Bank, Michelle Johnson of
Hampshire First Bank, Quincy Knight of Lake Sunapee Bank,
Noreen Latulippe of First Horizon Home Loans, Natalie Mantz
of Lake Sunapee Bank, Tim Mullen of Bellwether Community
Credit Union, Amanda Ohlinger of TriCity Mortgage, Linda
Parker of Lake Sunapee Bank, Stephanie Pigott of Laconia
Savings Bank, Sandra Aviles Rodriguez of TriCity Mortgage,
William D. Rouland of Equity America Mortgage Services, and
Stephanie Welsh of CTX Mortgage.
The Course 1 instructors are experienced mortgage finance
professionals who volunteer their time and share their
knowledge; we thank them for their support: Gladys White of Downeast Mortgage, Gary
Coffin of Horizon Settlement Services, Kristine Simard of
CBC Innovis, Ralph Coppola of American Home Mortgage, Susan
Dagoumas of Laconia Savings Bank, Doreen White of Old
Republic Title, Holly Pointer of Republic Mortgage Insurance
Company (RMIC), Mark Chalifour of Merrrimack Title Company,
and P. Ben Niles of Freddie Mac.
In early spring the MBBA-NH will be offering Course 2:
Mortgage Banking Fundamentals to individuals who have at
least one year of mortgage banking experience. A
sampling of course topics include: introduction to
FHA, VA, and Rural Housing; condominiums; Desktop
Underwriter (DU) and Loan Prospector (LP); tax returns and
qualifying the self-employed borrower; sales and marking
with technology; time management; public speaking; laws that
affect the mortgage banking/broker industry; and New
Hampshire economic update. Please look for the
registration form by email and mail in February 2007.

Programs Scheduled
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
- Network at Night from 5:30 P.M. to 7:30 P.M. at Wally and
Bernie's, 20 Old Granite Street, Manchester, New Hampshire.
Please
click here to
register and for more information.
Wednesday, January 17, 2006 - Federal and
state legislative update at the Manchester Country Club, 180
South River Road, Bedford New Hampshire, from 9 A.M. to
10:30 A.M. Registration and continental breakfast from
8:30 A.M. to 9 A.M. Please
click here
for more
information.
Tuesday, February 13, through
Wednesday, February 14, 2007 - Annual Joint
Mortgage Conference at the Radisson Hotel, Center of New
Hampshire, Manchester. National sales trainer,
cocktail reception with exhibitors, fraud prevention,
economic update, compliance, etc. Please
click here
for more information.
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